Israel′s Prime Minister Netanyahu, the lone ranger who is foolishly pushing Trump to cancel the deal, seems to be completely out of touch about the implications of such an unwise act on Israel′s national security. Nullifying the deal will be to Israel′s terrible disadvantage, as Iran will put the development of nuclear weapons on a fast track. Based on all estimates, Iran would be able to test a nuclear weapon within a year.

Finally, the cancellation of the deal will dramatically change the balance of power in the Middle East between the Arab states and Iran. It will also have this effect between Israel and Tehran, as it will neutralise Israel′s nuclear shield and leave the country dependent on a precarious nuclear deterrence rather than maintaining its strategic advantage.

Donald Trump on the campaign trail in 2016 (photo: picture-alliance/AP/E. Vucci)
Sadly beyond Donald Trump's scope: ″nullifying the JCPOA, instead of certifying that Iran has and continues to fully comply with all aspects of the deal, will precipitate dangerous regional and international repercussions. Trump should listen to his Secretary of Defence James Mattis, who recently testified before Congress that remaining party to the deal with Iran is in U.S. national security interests," writes Ben-Meir

Trump should listen to his Secretary of Defence James Mattis, who recently testified before Congress that remaining party to the deal with Iran is in U.S. national security interests. Instead of cancelling the deal, which could lead to the above dire consequences, Trump (with the support of the other signatories of the deal) must ensure that Iran continues to fully comply with all the provisions of the deal while putting Tehran on notice that the international community will not tolerate the slightest violation of the agreement.

In the interests of national security

The U.S. ought to focus on strengthening the deal and ascertain that once it expires, Iran continues to adhere to the rules and requirements of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), of which Tehran is a signatory, to prevent it from clandestinely pursuing its nuclear programme. The U.S. must also insist that the most intrusive, unfettered and unannounced monitoring and verification by the IAEA continues and that Tehran clearly understands the dire consequences should it be caught red-handed in violation of the deal.

Furthermore, the U.S. should fully bolster its intelligence co-operation with its allies by sharing relevant intelligence to prevent Iran or any of its surrogates from planning and executing any act of terror, or the shipment or manufacturing of weapons to any of its clients, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon.

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